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S6IA00264

SCHOLTEN, JAMES Open seat

 ·  IA Senate (Senate)
2.5
Influence Score · 2026
Lightly backed
Non-incumbent — only contributions, independent expenditures, and dark-money exposure are scored. Lobbying, vote alignment, bundle timing, and trade direction require committee assignments and roll-call records, neither of which exist for a non-sitting candidate. Maximum reachable score is about 23, on a challenger-only scale — incumbents are scored 0–100 across all twelve axes, so the two are not directly comparable. See methodology.

Score components

AxisRawNormalized (pts)Coverage
Direct contributions $123K 0.47 2026 cycle, principal committee
Outside spending — direct support $0 — PACs that directly supported this candidate
Outside spending — indirect (OPPOSE against opponents) $2.32M — OPPOSE spending against opponents in the same race, attributed proportionally
Outside spending — OPPOSE against this candidate $0 — PACs that spent to defeat this candidate (not scored on this axis)
Total outside spending in favor $2.32M 2.01 direct + indirect — drives the outside-spending axis
Lobbying exposure — — Requires committee assignment
Vote alignment — — Requires voting record
Contribution timing — money arriving near key votes — — Requires recorded-vote calendar
Dark-money exposure 0.0000 0.00 Disclosed-vs-dark outside spending share
Personal trade direction — — Requires STOCK Act filings

Race matchup  IA Senate

Candidate Party Status Direct $ Outside $ Score Tier
ERNST, JONI K REP Inc. $604K $10K 55.6 Moderately exposed
ARENHOLZ, ASHLEY HINSON REP Open $9.14M $7.82M 11.7 Substantially backed
TUREK, JOSHUA DEM Open $1.32M $18.26M 10.7 Substantially backed
WAHLS, ZACH P DEM Open $2.18M $2.55M 10.1 Substantially backed
SAGE, NATHAN DEM Open $408K $2.32M 3.6 Modestly backed
NORRIS, JACKIE DEM Open $267K $2.32M 3.0 Modestly backed
SCHOLTEN, JAMES DEM Open $123K $2.32M 2.5 Lightly backed

Challenger and open-seat scores reflect contributions, outside spending, and dark-money exposure only — a maximum of about 23. They are not directly comparable to incumbent scores, which run 0–100 across all twelve axes. Compare the dollar columns (Direct $, Outside $) for a like-for-like view.