← All 2026 races
H6CA48310

VON WILPERT, MARNI Open seat

 ·  CA-48 (House)
5.7
Influence Score · 2026
Modestly backed
Non-incumbent — only contributions, independent expenditures, and dark-money exposure are scored. Lobbying, vote alignment, bundle timing, and trade direction require committee assignments and roll-call records, neither of which exist for a non-sitting candidate. Maximum reachable score is about 23, on a challenger-only scale — incumbents are scored 0–100 across all twelve axes, so the two are not directly comparable. See methodology.

Score components

AxisRawNormalized (pts)Coverage
Direct contributions $951K 3.61 2026 cycle, principal committee
Outside spending — direct support $1.91M PACs that directly supported this candidate
Outside spending — indirect (OPPOSE against opponents) $549K OPPOSE spending against opponents in the same race, attributed proportionally
Outside spending — OPPOSE against this candidate $706K PACs that spent to defeat this candidate (not scored on this axis)
Total outside spending in favor $2.46M 2.11 direct + indirect — drives the outside-spending axis
Lobbying exposure Requires committee assignment
Vote alignment Requires voting record
Contribution timing — money arriving near key votes Requires recorded-vote calendar
Dark-money exposure 0.0000 0.00 Disclosed-vs-dark outside spending share
Personal trade direction Requires STOCK Act filings

Race matchup  CA-48

Candidate Party Status Direct $ Outside $ Score Tier
ISSA, DARRELL REP Inc. $382K $231K 50.5 Least exposed
DESMOND, JIM REP Open $1.45M $640K 6.6 Modestly backed
VON WILPERT, MARNI DEM Open $951K $2.46M 5.7 Modestly backed
RIKER, BRANDON DEM Open $718K $922K 4.0 Modestly backed
CAMPA-NAJJAR, AMMAR DEM Open $530K $1.57M 3.7 Modestly backed
DIXIT, ANUJ DEM Open $384K $649K 2.5 Lightly backed
CHAVEZ, ABEL DEM Open $54K $649K 1.3 Lightly backed
RYANS, JERLILIA MS. DEM Open $5K $649K 1.1 Lightly backed

Challenger and open-seat scores reflect contributions, outside spending, and dark-money exposure only — a maximum of about 23. They are not directly comparable to incumbent scores, which run 0–100 across all twelve axes. Compare the dollar columns (Direct $, Outside $) for a like-for-like view.